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Studies
of the ethanol, corn, and distillers grains markets for two separate
ethanol facilities being built in the western Corn Belt. The studies
included ten-year price projections, and one served as the independent
market consultant’s report for the institution leading the financing of
the operation. (2008)
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A
study of the financial feasibility of corn fractionation at existing
ethanol plants and an associated centralized corn-oil extraction
facility. The markets for ethanol, corn, corn oil and the co-products
of fractionation and oil extraction (high-protein distillers grains and
two smaller-volume feed ingredients were analyzed in detail, and
ten-year price forecasts were developed. Informa developed financial
projections and calculated feasibility metrics for the ethanol plants
and the oil-extraction operation. (2008)
-
A
study of sugar markets and government policies and the economics of
sweet sorghum production and molasses procurement on behalf of a
proposed ethanol operation considering the use of the products as
feedstocks. (2008)
-
Developed
and conducted an ethanol risk-management seminar in conjunction with
the
World Ethanol conference, the premier international ethanol conference
hosted by F.O. Licht in Paris. (2007 and 2008)
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Study
of the local and regional markets and basis levels (i.e., cash prices
minus futures prices) for soybeans and soybean meal around an integrated
soybean crushing and biodiesel facility, on behalf of a financial
institution involved with the operation. (2008)
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A
multi-client study regarding the future of global vegetable oil
markets. The study evaluated the oilseed and vegetable oil sectors in
several major producing nations, given the expected growth of biodiesel
production in the U.S., European Union, Brazil, Southeast Asia and other
countries, as well as competition for acreage due to existing tightness
in global supply/demand balances for grains and oilseeds. The study
also examined the supply/demand and price implications of the move away
from partially hydrogenated vegetable oils (that are associated with
trans fats) to healthier oils in North America. (2008)
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A
comprehensive study regarding global biodiesel feedstock (i.e.,
vegetable oils, animal fats, and alternative/developing feedstock)
availability, sustainability, and sourcing strategies for biodiesel
and/or renewable diesel facilities in North America. The study
developed an economic feedstock biodiesel model for multiple locations
in North America and developed a market entry strategy. (2008)
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A
detailed assessment of the U.S. animal fats market in North America
including a analysis of supply/demand drivers, pricing patters and
relationships, ownership structure, sourcing strategies, and market
outlook. (2008)
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A
feasibility of locating several animal-fat biodiesel plants in Eastern
Canada. (2008)
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A
study of the drivers of corn and soybean prices, including the role of
ethanol and biodiesel, and forecasts of the biofuels and commodity
markets for a multinational feed ingredient manufacturer. (2008)
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An
analysis and forecast of the pricing of Renewable Identification Numbers
(RINs), which are credits that are generated by the usage of biofuels by
an obligated party above levels mandated by the Renewable Fuel Standard
(RFS) and that can be traded to an obligated party that is short of
mandated usage levels. Biodiesel prices also were forecast over the
next decade, as were the prices of biodiesel-specific RINs applicable to
the portion of the RFS “carved out” for biodiesel by the Energy
Independence and Security Act of 2007. (2008)
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A
feasibility study of an integrated biofuel operation including canola
production in Western Canada, canola crushing, and biodiesel production
and distribution in Canada and the US. (2008)
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An
analysis the impact of energy prices on consumer food prices. (2008)
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The
development of international crop acreage forecasts utilized in land-use
studies related to biofuels production. (2008)
-
A
study of the market for barley as a feedstock for East Coast ethanol
facilities. The study investigated the likely supply response by
farmers in the region given the recent commercialization of
high-yielding varieties, examined historical pricing patterns for barley
relative to corn and forecast the price of barley delivered to the
facilities over the next decade. (2008)
-
An
evaluation of the production economics of miscanthus, an “energy crop”
that is a potential feedstock for second-generation ethanol production,
relative to other crops in a region of the U.S. (2008)
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An
evaluation of the economics to ethanol facilities from installing
equipment to pellet distillers grains rather than selling conventional
distillers grains. The study included an analysis of cost savings
associated with transporting higher bulk density pelleted distillers
grains versus conventional product, as well as an assessment of the
receptivity of different end-users of distillers grains toward receiving
pelleted product. (2008)
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A
comparison of the economics of ethanol production at a facility in an
ethanol destination market versus a typical facility in a corn
origination area. (2008)
-
An
evaluation of the competitiveness of delivered prices to the East Coast
of ethanol produced in the Midwest versus imported product, considering
transportation and handling costs as well as tariffs on direct imports
from Brazil. (2008)
-
An
analysis of the geography of corn origination areas around ethanol
production facilities in the western Corn Belt. (2008)
-
A
study funded by the U.S. Department of Energy regarding the development
of a canola industry east of the Mississippi River, with the objective
of determining whether canola oil can become a significant part of the
food consumption and energy feedstock mix in the region. The potential
for development of downstream energy and other value-added products from
canola oil was evaluated. The study encompassed an evaluation of the
relative economics of producing canola versus other crops, as well as
identification and evaluation of five specific sites that could be
viable locations for an integrated canola-crushing and energy production
facility. (2008)
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Development of a “reasonableness opinion” of a business plan drafted by
a proposed biodiesel operation, on behalf of a financial institution
considering raising funds for the project. (2008)
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A
number of separate projects analyzing the ethanol, corn and distillers
grains markets for facilities proposed in various locations around the
United States and Canada. The analyses included ten-year price
projections. Most of the studies served as the independent market
consultant’s reports for institutions leading the financing of the
facilities; some served as decision-support materials for potential
investors. Some of the individual projects involved multiple sites.
(2007)
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Two
separate assessments of the corn and co-product markets for ethanol
facilities planned for nontraditional locations in the U.S. that intend
to fractionate the corn they process, producing corn germ (the
oil-bearing fraction of the kernel) and a high-protein feed ingredient
in addition to ethanol and carbon dioxide. Grain supply and co-product
markets were analyzed in detail, and ten-year price forecasts were
developed. Informa assisted with co-product offtake options for one of
the operations and analyzed the attractiveness of the alternatives,
including the use of the high-protein fraction in a nontraditional
segment of the domestic feed market and the potential for exports. The
studies were both conducted on behalf of the equity investors. (2007)
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Development of a business plan for an ethanol facility proposed for the
Southwest U.S. Forecasts of the ethanol, corn and distillers grains
markets were conducted. Ten-year cash flow projections were developed,
and the net present value of the facility was estimated, along with and
the internal rate of return on equity. (2007)
-
A
study for the Renewable Fuels Foundation analyzing the potential causes
of consumer food price inflation, and specifically investigating whether
ethanol industry growth is a significant cause of higher food prices.
(2007)
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Two
studies for the U.S. Grains Council regarding exports of distillers
grains. One study analyzed transportation options and related costs for
exports to 11 Asian countries, specifically assessing the economics of
shipments in containers versus bulk movements. The second study served
as an independent evaluation of the Council’s market promotion programs
overseas. (2007)Updated version of the well-subscribed 2006 multi-client study on the
outlook and impact of ethanol in North American refining and gasoline
markets. An in-depth section on cellulosic ethanol was added. (2006)
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Research study to evaluate the market for biodiesel cold-flow
solutions. It includes a review of exiting technologies and market
survey with companies in the biodiesel and fuel supply chain. The
project developed an economic model to quantify and value the market for
a particular cold-flow technology. (2007)
-
Feasibility study for a large animal fats and yellow grease biodiesel
plant. The feedstock markets (tallow, poultry fat, choice white grease,
vegetable oil and yellow grease) were analyzed to estimate supply
availability and pricing for the plant, including a 10-year outlook.
Local and regional biodiesel markets were examined and prices were
forecast over a ten-year period. The study included a financial
evaluation and investment assessment. The study served as the
independent market consultant’s report for the project’s stakeholders.
(2007)
-
Soybean, soybean oil and meal, diesel/biodiesel and glycerin markets
were analyzed, and prices were forecast over a ten-year period. The
study included a complete financial evaluation of both the crushing and
the biodiesel businesses. The study served as the independent market
consultant’s report for an institution leading the financing of the
facilities. (2007)
-
Feasibility study for a small soybean/canola crushing and biodiesel
plant in the Northeast. The feedstock and diesel markets were examined
and prices were forecast over a five-year period. The study included a
financial evaluation of both the crushing and the biodiesel businesses.
The study served as the independent market consultant’s report for a
group of investors of the facility. (2007)
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For
a Russian/European firm, an assessment of establishing an oilseed
crushing facility in Estonia to support regional biodiesel plants. Work
included a full evaluation of the supply chain from North America and
Brazil and an assessment of the impact such a facility would have on the
growth and development of the local and regional feed market. The oil
and meal supply//demand of regional destination markets such the Baltics
and Scandinavian countries and Russia were examined. The 2007
feasibility included an examination of the regional biodiesel market and
its impact on regional vegetable oil demand and pricing. (2007,
partially updated from a 2003 study)
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Comprehensive pre-acquisition due diligence study of the oilseed
crushing and biodiesel markets for the U.S., Europe, South America,
China, India, Malaysia and Indonesia. The study examined the structure
of the market, the policy environment, the economics of crushing and
biodiesel, oilseeds available in each country, and the ten-year
supply/demand outlook of oilseed crushing and biodiesel production in
each region. The study served as the independent market consultant’s
report for a group of investors of the facility. (2007)
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Study of the market position and future strategic options for an
existing ethanol producer. (2007)
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Evaluation of an existing ethanol producer’s grain origination and
delivery system. (2007)
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Analysis of the agricultural commodity markets related to ethanol
production, on behalf of a major oil company. (2007)
-
Assessment of the competitiveness of ethanol delivered to the U.S.
through a Caribbean Basin Initiative country. (2007)
-
Ongoing assessment of the biodiesel and oilseed feedstock markets for
multiple facilities proposed in the U.S. Ten-year price projections
will be provided for soybean oil, biodiesel prices and margins. (2007)
-
Comprehensive market study of the oilseed crushing and biodiesel markets
for the U.S., Europe, South America, China, India, Malaysia and
Indonesia. The study examined the structure of the market, the policy
environment, the economics of biodiesel and the ten-year supply/demand
outlook of each region. (2007)
-
Feasibility study for a large soybean crushing and biodiesel plant.
Soybean, soybean oil and meal, diesel/biodiesel and glycerin markets
were analyzed, and prices were forecast over a ten-year period. The
study included a complete financial evaluation of both the crushing and
the biodiesel businesses. The study served as the independent market
consultant’s report for an institution leading the financing of the
facilities. (2006-07)
-
Feasibility study for a large biodiesel plant in Iowa. The feedstock,
diesel and glycerin feedstock markets were analyzed, and prices were
forecast over a ten-year period. The study examined optimal scale,
technology provider, feedstock procurement strategies and other
issues. Based on these forecasts and expected capital expenditures
and standard operating costs, ten-year cash flow projections were
customized for the proposed plant. (2006-07)
-
Two
studies for the U.S. Department of Agriculture regarding the renewable
fuels industry. One project involved profiling the business models in
use in the renewable fuels industry, elaborating the advantages and
disadvantages of those models and determining whether any public policy
initiatives are needed to optimize the alignment of particular models to
the conditions each best suits. The second project focused on profiling
investment patterns by farmers and other rural investors in renewable
fuel operations, ascertaining whether such patterns are changing and
determining whether any public policy initiatives are needed to permit
farmers and other rural investors to participate in further industry
growth. (2006-07)
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Five
separate financial feasibility studies of ethanol facilities proposed
for the Mid-Atlantic, Southeast and Plains. The ethanol, corn and
distillers grains markets were analyzed and prices were forecast, and
potential revenues for carbon dioxide were included in the financial
projections where appropriate. Ten-year cash flow projections were
developed, and the net present value of each facility was estimated.
One of the studies involved an assessment of the advantages and
disadvantages of fractionating corn to produce corn germ (the
oil-bearing fraction of the kernel), a high-protein feed ingredient and
fiber in addition to ethanol. One was funded by the Department of
Energy. (2006)
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Multi-client study on the outlook of the Canadian oilseed and biodiesel
markets. The future trajectory of biodiesel production in the Canada
was forecast, along with the geography of production and consumption.
The ability of the Canadian sector to supply the necessary quantities of
feedstock was analyzed. Biodiesel, canola prices were forecast over the
next decade. (2006)
-
Eleven separate projects analyzing the ethanol, corn and distillers
grains markets for facilities proposed in the Midwest, Plains and
Southwest. The analyses included ten-year price projections. Most of
the studies served as the independent market consultant’s reports for
institutions leading the financing of the facilities as well as for
potential investors. Some of the individual projects involved multiple
sites. One of the facilities is integrated with a livestock operation.
(2006)
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Investment advisory services for a company considering a large-scale
equity infusion into a proposed multi-site ethanol operation. The
project involved background analysis on the industry and a comparison of
the economics of ethanol production at the proposed sites versus
traditional production locations. (2006)
-
Assessment of the grain procurement options and development of a 10-year
forecast of feedstock costs for an ethanol facility proposed in a
nontraditional production location. (2006)
-
Ongoing market feasibility studies for biodiesel facilities proposed
throughout the U.S. The biodiesel, fuel distribution, feedstock (i.e.,
vegetable oil and animal fats) and glycerin markets are being analyzed,
and prices are being forecast over a ten-year period. (2006/07)
-
Feasibility study for a large, integrated biodiesel plant in the
Midwest. The soybean, vegetable oil and glycerin feedstock markets were
analyzed, and prices were forecast over a ten-year period. Based on
these forecasts and expected capital expenditures and noncommodity
operating costs, ten-year cash flow projections were developed, and
several profitability and debt coverage ratios were estimated. (2006)
-
Multi-client study on the outlook and impact of ethanol in North
American refining and gasoline markets. The future trajectory of
ethanol production in the U.S. was forecast, along with the geography of
production and consumption. The ability of the U.S. corn sector to
supply the necessary quantities of feedstock was analyzed, along with
the ability of the U.S. livestock/poultry sector to absorb the
distillers grains resulting from future levels of ethanol production.
Ethanol, corn and distillers grains prices were forecast over the next
decade. Government policy and ethanol trade issues were addressed, and
the implications for the transportation sector were determined. (2006)
-
Multi-client study of the biodiesel market opportunities in Canada. The
study examined issues related to feedstock availability, fuel supply,
biodiesel industry structure, financial viability, policy environment
and regional competitiveness. (2006)
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Business plan development for an ethanol facility proposed in the
Midwest. (2006)
-
Assessment of the implications for a Class I railroad operator from the
expansion in the volume and geography of ethanol and biodiesel
production. (2006)
-
Analysis of the economics of ethanol imports into the U.S. (2006)
-
Feasibility study for a biodiesel facility proposed for several
locations along the Mississippi River, including forecasts of the
biodiesel, glycerin and feedstocks Based on these forecasts and expected
capital expenditures and processing operating costs, ten-year cash flow
projections were developed, and the net present value of the facility
was determined. (2006)
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A
structural and competitive analysis of the U.S. biodiesel industry for a
large biodiesel equipment manufacturer. The study included an evaluation
of the main technology providers, a detailed analysis of the structure
of the biodiesel industry and short and long-term outlook. (2006)
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An
evaluation of U.S. federal and state biodiesel policy and tax incentives
available to biodiesel producers. (2006)
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Biodiesel feasibility study for a regional fuel distributor in Arkansas,
Tennessee and Missouri. The study examined the potential supply/demand
of biodiesel in the region (by county) in order to determine the volume
of biodiesel that the firm will be able to market. The report also
analyzed the economic implications of alternative partnership
arrangements with the client’s biodiesel provider. (2006)
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Independent market consultant’s report for an institution leading the
financing of a company purchasing two ethanol facilities and considering
the construction of three others. Corn and distillers grains prices
were forecast for each of the locations. (2006)
-
Update of an independent market consultant’s report originally conducted
in 2005, forecasting ethanol, corn and distillers grains prices for a
facility proposed in the Pacific Northwest. The report was conducted
through a financial institution leading the financing of the facility,
on behalf of potential participants in the funding. (2006)
-
Advisory services related to the potential acquisition of an ethanol
facility. The ethanol, corn and distillers grains markets expected to
be experienced by the facility were analyzed in connection with the
project. (2006)
-
Site-selection study for new ethanol facilities, reviewing ethanol
markets, corn price impacts, distillers grains markets and
transportation infrastructure (rail and fuel infrastructure) in multiple
locations. (2006)
-
Assessment of the potential demand for ethanol and industry implications
associated with the reduction of methyl tertiary butyl ether (MTBE)
usage in the U.S. fuel supply. (2006)
-
Multi-client study of the future opportunities for biobased products,
including renewable energy applications for biomass. (2006)
-
Assessment of the differential impacts on livestock markets from the
growth of ethanol production and associated distillers grains output in
the U.S. and Canada. The assessment was part of a broad economic study
conducted on behalf of a Canadian livestock producers group. (2006)
-
Study of the financial feasibility and feedstock options for a biodiesel
facility proposed for the East Coast. The study examined several
feedstock option and plant size alternatives. The report included a
comprehensive set of financial/cash flow scenarios (2006)
-
Study of feedstock and biodiesel distribution options for a biodiesel
facility currently operating in the central U.S. (2006)Study of the ethanol, corn, distillers grain and carbon dioxide market
conditions for an ethanol facility proposed for the East Coast, on
behalf of a potential equity investor. The study included a detailed
assessment of the corn surplus/deficit in the area, the extent to which
locally produced corn could be procured and the potential market for
distillers grains among livestock operations, as well as such
location-specific factors as transportation to multiple terminal markets
and potential revenues from carbon dioxide. (2005/2006)
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Study of oilseed procurement and risk management strategies for a
planned biodiesel facility in the Northern Plains, and assistance in the
development of a business plan and consideration of whether to include
an oilseed crushing facility in the project, subsequently conducted a
study of the feasibility of the planned facility. (2005)
-
Review of the business plan for a proposed ethanol facility and of the
feedstock supply and ethanol and distillers grains offtake agreements
negotiated by its operator, on behalf of a firm considering an equity
investment in the facility. (2005)Study of the financial feasibility of establishing an ethanol facility
in Ukraine. (2005)For
a major trade association, a study of the feasibility of using ethanol
to replace a lead-based fuel in a segment of the aviation gasoline
market. (2005)
-
For
an entrant into the ethanol industry, a site-selection study for new
facilities, reviewing ethanol markets, corn price impacts and distillers
grain markets in multiple locations. Prices were forecast for each
location, with cash margins compared across locations. (2005)
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Financial feasibility study for of a small scale (10 million gallon per
year plant) biodiesel facility proposed for the Midwest. The study
included an evaluation of the economic and financial viability of
producing biodiesel and glycerin as well the development of projected
financial statements and investment analysis. This plant is currently
under construction. (2005)
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Financial feasibility study for of a large biodiesel facility proposed
for the Midwest. The study included a comprehensive review of the
biodiesel industry and evaluation of the economic and financial
viability of producing biodiesel and glycerin. This plant is currently
under construction. (2005)Study of corn and distillers grain market conditions in multiple
locations where ethanol facilities were proposed; the study included
forecasts of netback prices to the facilities for distiller’s grains, as
well as the costs at which corn would be procured. (2005)
-
Price forecasts for the products from a proposed ethanol facility that
would fractionate corn; ethanol and corn prices specific to the plant
also were forecast. The report was conducted as an independent market
consultant’s report through a financial institution leading the
financing of the facility, on behalf of potential participants in the
funding. (2005)
-
Study of vegetable oil market implications of the expansion of the
biodiesel industry, as well as development of vegetable oil procurement
strategies, for a proposed biodiesel facility in the Midwest. (2005)
-
Study of the market conditions for ethanol, corn and distillers grain
for a proposed ethanol facility in the Western Corn Belt; the study
included forecasts of netback prices to the facility for ethanol and
distillers grains, as well as the costs at which corn would be
procured. The report was conducted as an independent market
consultant’s report through a financial institution leading the
financing of the facility, on behalf of potential participants in the
funding. (2005)
-
Study of grain procurement options and economics for a proposed ethanol
facility in the Southern U.S. (2005)
-
Study for the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) regarding
the current and future structure of the ethanol industry and the role
that the availability and management of information has in sustaining
that structure. (2005)
-
Forecasts of corn and distillers grains prices for a West Coast ethanol
facility. (2005)
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Study for a private company regarding the viability of constructing an
ethanol facility in a longtime member state of the European Union.
(2005)
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Study of the basis impact of establishing an ethanol facility in a
location near other large-scale production operations. (2005)
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For
a large regional utility company considering investing in the ethanol
industry, the prices of ethanol, corn and distillers dried grains were
forecast, a list of proposed ethanol facilities and those under
construction was developed, and capacity was forecast through 2015.
(2005)
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For
the Louisiana Bond Commission, documents related to the financial
viability of a proposed combination sugarcane syrup and ethanol mill
were reviewed, and expert testimony was provided in front of the
Commission. (2005)
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Five
site-specific studies in 2004 for separate companies considering
investing in ethanol facilities. The studies involved analyses of corn
and sorghum availability near the predetermined sites, estimated the
grain basis (price) impact of new ethanol facilities at the sites,
evaluated the markets for the co-product distillers dried grains near
the sites, and forecast the prices of corn, sorghum, ethanol and
distillers grains over the next decade. One study was conducted as an
independent market consultant’s report through a financial institution
leading the financing of the facility, on behalf of potential
participants in the funding.
-
For
two separate companies, site selection studies for new ethanol
facilities, reviewing ethanol markets, corn price impacts and distillers
grain markets in multiple traditional and nontraditional ethanol
production locations. Prices were forecast for each location, and
margins were compared across locations. (2004)
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For
a state renewable fuels association, a study of the economics of selling
distillers dried grains to nontraditional areas versus current
practices. Feed ingredient prices and transportation rates were
assessed for a number of locations, along with physical considerations
that would affect efforts to supply the various markets. (2004)
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For
an investment bank assisting in the financing of an ethanol facility, a
review of the mechanics of the ethanol, corn and distillers dried grains
markets was conducted, prices for all three commodities were forecast,
and supply and offtake agreements were scrutinized (2004).
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For
a financial corporation considering providing debt to an ethanol
company, the key regional markets for the operation’s ethanol and
distillers dried grains outputs were assessed (2004).
-
Study of the feasibility of co-locating an ethanol facility with poultry
production (2004).
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Multi-client study in 2003 forecasting the future volume of coproducts
of ethanol and other corn-processing operations in the U.S.; potential
consumption of coproducts domestically (by market segment) and
internationally; and co-product prices. Specific co-products
investigated included distillers grains, corn gluten feed, corn gluten
meal and corn oil. As part of this analysis, the size of the U.S.
ethanol market was forecast through 2013 by metropolitan area and state,
and ethanol prices and margins were forecast. The future paths of the
other primary products of wet milling, including high fructose corn
syrup, glucose/dextrose and starch, also were quantified.
-
For
a biodiesel producer, a study of the impact that a potential increase in
biodiesel production would have on the U.S. soybean oil market (2002).
-
Study for the State of Mississippi regarding its strategy for attracting
and establishing new ethanol facilities, as well as the general
feasibility of several proposed facilities (2002).
-
Multi-client study in 2001 forecasting the size of the U.S. ethanol
market by metropolitan area and state through 2010. Ethanol prices and
margins and coproduct prices also were forecast, and likely
transportation patterns were evaluated.
-
Multi-client study in 1994 forecasting the size of the U.S. ethanol
market by metropolitan area and state through 2000. The markets for
feed coproducts also were assessed.
-
Study for a global petroleum company in 1992 regarding the U.S. markets
for fuel, industrial and beverage alcohol, including price dynamics.
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Study for a major ethanol producer in 1991 forecasting the size of the
ethanol market in the 1990s and investigating price implications for
corn and feed co-products.